Spread of Covid-19: a Study Case of Honduras, Forecasting with Logistic Model and SIR Model

Guerrero Flores, Danny Joel (2020) Spread of Covid-19: a Study Case of Honduras, Forecasting with Logistic Model and SIR Model. Universidad Pedagógica Nacional Francisco Morazán.

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Abstract

In this compilation, the logistic model and the SIR model are tested to forecast the spread of Covid-19 virus in Honduras by using the software Matlab. The mathematics topics involved are presented in a friendly way to facilitate their reading and to identify some possible didactic practices derived from their application. Certainly, some graphs, data arrangements and comments about the results obtained are given. The forecasts in this document depended on the handling of the data provided by the Hondurean's authorities.

Item Type: Other
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Guerrero Flores, Danny Joeldanny.guerrero@upnfm.edu.hnUNSPECIFIED
Uncontrolled Keywords: Logistic model; SIR model; Covid-19; Forecasting; Math Teaching
Subjects: 600 Tecnología (Ciencias aplicadas) > 610 Ciencias médicas. Medicina > 616 Enfermedades > 616.9 Otras enfermedades > 616.91 Enfermedades virales
Divisions: Universidad Pedagógica Nacional Francisco Morazán
Depositing User: Ing. Ernesto Correa
Date Deposited: 01 Jun 2020 18:10
Last Modified: 01 Jun 2020 18:10
URI: http://covid19.csuca.org/id/eprint/16
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